Submitted

Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, P. J. Klotzbach, S. J. Wotherspoon, and N. J. Holbrook: A statistical seasonal forecast model of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones using the quasi-biennial oscillation. Manuscript submitted to Int. Journ. Clim. in September 2017.

Zhao, H., X. Jiang, L. Wu, and P. J. Klotzbach: Multi-scale interactions of equatorial waves associated with tropical cyclogenesis over the western North Pacific. Manuscript submitted to Climate Dyn. in October 2017.

Patricola, C. M., S. J. Camargo, P. J. Klotzbach, R. Saravanan, and P. Chang: The influence of ENSO flavors on Western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Manuscript submitted to J. Climate in October 2017.

Wang, S.-Y., L. Zhao, J.-H. Yoon, P. Klotzbach, and R. Gillies: Assessing the climate warming effect on Hurricane Harvey using a quantitative attribution approach. Manuscript submitted to Environmental Research Lett. in December 2017.

Klotzbach, P. J., J. M. Collins, M. M. Bell, E. S. Blake, D. R. Roache, and C. J. Schreck III: The extremely active 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season. Manuscript submitted to Mon. Wea. Rev. in December 2017.

Zhao, H., X. Duan, G. B. Raga, and P. J. Klotzbach: Changes in characteristics of rapidly intensifying western North Pacific tropical cyclones related to climate regime shifts. Manuscript submitted to J. Climate in January 2018.

In Press

Zhao, H., G. B. Raga, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2018: Impact of the boreal summer quasi-biweekly oscillation on Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Int. Journ. Clim., in press, doi: 10.1002/joc.5250. Link

Song, J., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2018: What has controlled the poleward migration of annual averaged location of tropical cyclone lifetime maximum intensity over the western North Pacific since 1961? Geophys. Res. Lett., in press, doi: 10.1002/2017GL076883. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., S. G. Bowen, R. Pielke Jr., and M. M. Bell, 2018: Continental United States landfall frequency and associated damage: Observations and future risks. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., in press.

2017

Saunders, M. A., P. J. Klotzbach, and A. S. R. Lea, 2017: Replicating annual North Atlantic hurricane activity 1878-2012 from environmental variables. JGR-Atmospheres, 122, 6284-6297, doi: 10.1002/2017JD026492. Link

Ghelani, R. P. S., E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, M. C. Wheeler, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2017: Joint modulation of intraseasonal rainfall in tropical Australia by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 10,754-10,761, doi: 10.1002/2017GL075452. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., J. C. L. Chan, P. J. Fitzpatrick, W. M. Frank, C. W. Landsea, and J. L. McBride, 2017: The science of William M. Gray: His contributions to the knowledge of tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, 98, 2311-2336, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0116.1. Link

2016

Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper, and C. J. Schreck III, 2016: The relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall, Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 1355-1362. Link

Collins, J. M., P. J. Klotzbach, R. N. Maue, D. R. Roache, E. S. Blake, C. H. Paxton and C. A. Mehta, 2016: The record-breaking 2015 hurricane season in the Eastern North Pacific: An analysis of environmental conditions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 9217-9224, doi: 10.1002/2016GL070597. Link

Song, J., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2016: Wind structure discrepancies between two best-track data sets for western North Pacific tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 45, 4533-4551, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0163.1. Link

2015

Klotzbach, P. J., and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Modulation of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011, J. Climate, 28, 204-217. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Variations in global tropical cyclone activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation since the midtwentieth century, Geophys. Res. Lett, 42, 4199-4207, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063966. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., W. M. Gray, and C. T. Fogarty, 2015: Active Atlantic hurricane era at its end? Nature Geoscience, 8, 737-738, doi:10.1038/ngeo2529. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., and C. W. Landsea, 2015: Extremely intense hurricanes: Revisiting Webster et al. (2005) after 10 years, J. Climate, 28, 7621-7629. Link

Moon, I-J, S-H Kim, P. J. Klotzbach, and J. C. L. Chan, 2015: Roles of interbasin frequency changes in the poleward shift of the maximum intensity location of tropical cyclones, Envi. Res. Lett, 10, 104004, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104004. Link

Walsh, K. J., J. L. McBride, P. J. Klotzbach, S. Balachandran, S. J. Camargo, G. Holland, T. R. Knutson, J. Kossin, T.-C. Lee, and A. Sobel, 2015: Tropical cyclones and climate change, WIREs Climate Change, doi: 1002/wcc.371. Link

2014

Klotzbach, P. J., 2014: The Madden-Julian Oscillation’s impacts on worldwide tropical cyclone activity. J. Climate, 27, 2317-2330. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., 2014: Prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin accumulated cyclone energy from 1 July. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 115-121. Link

2013

Klotzbach, P. J., and E. S. Blake, 2013: North Central Pacific tropical cyclones: Impacts of El Nino-Southern Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation. J. Climate, 26, 7720-7733. Link

2012

Klotzbach, P. J., 2012: El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Atlantic basin tropical cyclone rapid intensification. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D14104, doi:10.1029/2012JD017714. Link

2011

Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: The influence of El Niño – Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation on Caribbean tropical cyclone activity. J. Climate, 24, 721-731, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3705.1. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: El Niño – Southern Oscillation’s Impact on Atlantic Basin hurricanes and U.S. landfalls. J. Climate, 24, 1252-1263, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3799.1. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: A simplified Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane prediction scheme from 1 August. Geophys. Res. Lett, 38, L16710, doi:10.1029/2011GL048603. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: Forecasting October-November Caribbean hurricane days. J. Geophys. Res., 116, D18117, doi:10.1029/2011JD016146. Link

2010

Klotzbach, P. J., 2010: On the Madden-Julian oscillation – Atlantic hurricane relationship. J. Climate, 23, 282-293. Link

Christy, J. R., B. Herman, R. Pielke Sr., P. J. Klotzbach, R. T. McNider, J. Hnilo, R. W. Spencer, T. Chase, and D. Douglass, 2010: What do observational datasets say about modeled tropospheric temperature trends since 1979? Remote Sensing, 2, 2148-2169, doi:10.3390/rs2092148. Link

2009

Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2009: 25 years of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L09711, doi:10.1029/2009GL037580. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., R. A. Pielke Sr., R. A. Pielke Jr., J. Christy, R. McNider, 2009: An alternative explanation for differential temperature trends at the surface and in the lower troposphere. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D21102, doi:10.1029/2009JD011841. Link

Grossmann, I., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2009: A review of North Atlantic modes of natural variability and their driving mechanisms. J. Geophys. Res, 114, D24107, doi: 10.1029/2009JD012728. Link

2008

Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2008: Multi-decadal variability in North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. J. Climate, 21, 3929-3935. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., 2008: Refinements to Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane prediction from 1 December. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D17109, doi:10.1029/2008JD010047. Link

2007

Klotzbach, P. J., 2007: Recent developments in statistical prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity. Tellus A, 59, 511-518. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., 2007: Revised prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity from 1 August. Wea. and Forecasting, 22, 937-949. Link

Camargo, S. J., A. G. Barnston, P. J. Klotzbach, and C. W. Landsea, 2007: Seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts. WMO Bull., 56, 297-309. Link

2006

Klotzbach, P. J., 2006: Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years (1986–2005), Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L10805, doi:10.1029/2006GL025881. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2006: Causes of the unusually destructive 2004 Atlantic basin hurricane season. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1325-1333. Link

2005

Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2005: Summary of 2004 Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity and verification of seasonal forecasts. Shore and Beach, 73, 20-24. Link

2004

Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2004: Updated 6-11-month prediction of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane activity. Wea. and Forecasting, 19, 917-934. Link

2003

Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2003: Forecasting September Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity. Wea. and Forecasting, 18, 1109-1128. Link

Book Chapters

Klotzbach, P. J., M. A. Saunders, G. D. Bell, and E. S. Blake, 2017: Statistically-based North Atlantic seasonal hurricane outlooks. Chapter 19 in “Climate Extremes: Patterns and Mechanisms”, S. Wang et al., Eds., 30 pp, AGU monograph. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., A. Barnston, G. D. Bell, S. Camargo, J. C. L. Chan, A. Lea, M. Saunders, and F. Vitart, 2015: Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones. Chapter in “Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting”, C. Guard, Ed., 28 pp. Link

Bulletin of the AMS State of the Climate Sidebars

Klotzbach, P. J., 2017: Record-setting North Atlantic Hurricane Matthew. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, S106-S107. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., and C. T. Fogarty, 2016: The record-shattering 2015 Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, S127-S128. Link

Klotzbach, P. J., and C. T. Fogarty, 2015: 2013 vs. 2014 Atlantic hurricane activity – A brief comparison of two below-average seasons. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, S104-S105. Link

Fogarty, C. T., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2014: The 2013 Atlantic basin hurricane season: Blip or flip? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, S106-S107. Link